Analysis of agriculture data using data mining techniques: application of big data
 Jharna Majumdar^{1}Email author,
 Sneha Naraseeyappa^{1} and
 Shilpa Ankalaki^{1}
Received: 25 February 2017
Accepted: 31 May 2017
Published: 5 July 2017
Abstract
In agriculture sector where farmers and agribusinesses have to make innumerable decisions every day and intricate complexities involves the various factors influencing them. An essential issue for agricultural planning intention is the accurate yield estimation for the numerous crops involved in the planning. Data mining techniques are necessary approach for accomplishing practical and effective solutions for this problem. Agriculture has been an obvious target for big data. Environmental conditions, variability in soil, input levels, combinations and commodity prices have made it all the more relevant for farmers to use information and get help to make critical farming decisions. This paper focuses on the analysis of the agriculture data and finding optimal parameters to maximize the crop production using data mining techniques like PAM, CLARA, DBSCAN and Multiple Linear Regression. Mining the large amount of existing crop, soil and climatic data, and analysing new, nonexperimental data optimizes the production and makes agriculture more resilient to climatic change.
Keywords
Background
 a.
It helps farmers in providing the historical crop yield record with a forecast reducing the risk management.
 b.
It helps the government in making crop insurance policies and policies for supply chain operation.
Data mining technique plays a vital role in the analysis of data. Data mining is the computing process of discovering patterns in large data sets involving methods at the intersection of artificial intelligence, machine learning, statistics, and database system. Unsupervised (clustering) and supervised (classifications) are two different types of learning methods in the data mining. Clustering is the process of examining a collection of “data points,” and grouping the data points into “clusters” according to some distance measure. The goal is that data points in the same cluster have a small distance from one another, while data points in different clusters are at a large distance from one another. Cluster analysis divides data into wellformed groups. Wellformed clusters should capture the “natural” structure of the data [3]. This paper focuses on PAM, CLARA and DBSCAN clustering methods. These methods are used to categorize the different districts of Karnataka which are having similar crop production.
Literature survey
Clustering is considered as an unsupervised classification process [4]. A large number of clustering algorithms have been developed for different purposes [4–6]. Clustering techniques can be categorised into Partitioning clustering, Hierarchical clustering, Densitybased methods, Gridbased methods and Model based clustering methods.
Partitioning clustering algorithms, such as Kmeans, Kmedoids PAM, CLARA and CLARANS assign objects into k (predefined cluster number) clusters, and iteratively reallocate objects to improve the quality of clustering results. Hierarchical clustering algorithms assign objects in tree structured clusters, i.e., a cluster can have data point’s representatives of low level clusters [7]. The idea of Densitybased clustering methods is that for each point of a cluster the neighbourhood of a given unit distance contains at least a minimum number of points, i.e. the density in the neighbourhood should reach some threshold. The idea of the densitybased clustering algorithm is that, for each point of a cluster, the neighbourhood of a given unit distance has to contain at least a minimum number of points [8].
There are different forecasting methodologies developed and evaluated by the researchers all over the world in the field of agriculture. Some of such studies are: Researchers like Ramesh and Vishnu Vardhan are analysed the agriculture data for the years 1965–2009 in the district East Godavari of Andhra Pradesh, India. Rain fall data is clustered into 4 clusters by adopting the K means clustering method. Multiple linear regression (MLR) is the method used to model the linear relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The dependent variable is rainfall and independent variables are year, area of sowing, production. Purpose of this work is to find suitable data models that achieve high accuracy and a high generality in terms of yield prediction capabilities [9].
Bangladesh offers several varieties of rice which has different cropping season [10]. For this a prior study of climate (effect on temperature and rainfall) in Bangladesh and its effect on agricultural production of rice has been done. Then this study was being taken into regression analysis with temperature and rainfall. Temperature puts an adverse consequence on the crop production. The data has been taken from the “Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council (BARC)” for past 20 years with 7 attributes: “rainfall”, “max and min temperature”, “sunlight”, “speed of wind”, “humidity” and “cloudcoverage”. In Preprocessing, the whole dataset was divided in 3 month duration phases (March to June, July to October, November to February). For this duration, the average for every attribute has been taken and associated with it. This preprocessing has been done for each kind of rice variety. In clustering, the different preprocessed table has been analysed to find the sharable group of region based on similar weather attribute.
Soil characteristics are studied and analysed using data mining techniques. As an example, the kmeans clustering is used for clustering soils in combination with GPSbased technologies [11]. Authors like Alberto GonzalezSanchez, Juan FraustoSolis and Waldo OjedaBustamante have done extensive study on predictive ability of machine learning techniques such as multiple linear regression, regression trees, artificial neural network, support vector regression and knearest neighbour for crop yield production [12]. Wheat yield prediction using machine learning and advanced sensing techniques has done by Pantazi, DimitriosMoshou, Thomas Alexandridis and Abdul MounemMouazen [13]. The aim of their work is to predict within field variation in wheat yield, based on online multilayer soil data, and satellite imagery crop growth characteristics. Supervised selforganizing maps capable of handling existent information from different soil and crop sensors by utilizing an unsupervised learning algorithm were used. The software tool ‘Crop Advisor’ has been developed by S. Veenadhari, B. Misra and CD Singh [14] is an user friendly web page for predicting the influence of climatic parameters on the crop yields. C4.5 algorithm is used to find out the most influencing climatic parameter on the crop yields of selected crops in selected districts of Madhya Pradesh.
Methods
The objective of proposed work is to analyse the agriculture data using data mining techniques. In proposed work, agriculture data has been collected from following sources:
Dataset in agricultural sector [https://data.gov.in/, http://raitamitra.kar.nic.in/statistics],
Crop wise agriculture data [html://CROPWISE_NORMAL_AREA],
Agriculture data of different districts [http://14.139.94.101/fertimeter/Distkar.aspx], http://raitamitra.kar.nic.in/ENG/statistics.asp],
Agriculture data based on weather, temperature, and relative humidity [http://dmc.kar.nic.in/trg.pdf].
Input dataset consist of 6 year data with following parameters namely: year, StateKarnataka (28 districts), District, crop (cotton, groundnut, jowar, rice and wheat.), season (kharif, rabi, summer), area (in hectares), production (in tonnes), average temperature (°C), average rainfall (mm), soil, PH value, soil type, major fertilizers, nitrogen (kg/Ha), phosphorus (Kg/Ha),Potassium(Kg/Ha), minimum rainfall required, minimum temperature required.
In proposed work, modified approach of DBSCAN method is used to cluster the data based on districts which are having similar temperature, rain fall and soil type. PAM and CLARA are used to cluster the data based on the districts which are producing maximum crop production (In proposed work wheat crop is considered as example). Based on these analyses we are obtaining the optimal parameters to produce the maximum crop production. Multiple linear regression method is used to forecast the annual crop yield.
Modified approach of DBSCAN
Modified DBSCAN proposes the method to find the minimum points and Epsilon (radius value) automatically. KNN plot is used to find out the epsilon value where input to the KNN plot (K value) is user defined. To avoid the user define K value as input to the KNN plot, Batchelor Wilkins clustering algorithm is applied to the database and obtain the K value along with its respective cluster centres. This K value is given as input to the KNN Plot.
Determination of Eps and Minpts
The Epsilon (Eps) value can be found by drawing a “Kdistance graph” for entire datapoints in dataset for a given ‘K’, obtained by the Batchelor Wilkins Algorithm [16]. Initially, the distance of a point to every ‘K’ of its nearestneighbours is calculated. KNN plot is plotted by taking the sorted values of average distance values. When the graph is plotted, a knee point is determined in order to find the optimal Eps value [15].
Partition around medoids (PAM)
 1.
BUILD phase, a collection of k objects are selected for an initial set S.

Arbitrarily choose k objects as the initial medoids.

Until no change, do.

(Re) assign each object to the cluster with the nearest medoid.

Improve the quality of the kmedoids (randomly select a non medoid object, O random, compute the total cost of swapping a medoid with O random).

 2.
SWAP phase, one tries to improve the quality of the clustering by exchanging selected objects with unselected objects. Choose the minimum swapping cost.
CLARA (clustering large applications)
Multiple linear regression to forecast the crop yield
Before applying the multiple linear regression to forecast the crop yield, it’s necessary to know the significant attributes from the database. All the attributes used in the database will not be significant or changing the value of these attributes will not affect anything on the dependent variables. Such attributes can be neglected. P value test is performed on the database to find the significant attributes and multiple linear regression is applied only on the significant values to forecast the crop yield.
Evaluation methods
Data mining algorithms work with different principles, being able to be influenced by different kinds of associations on data. To ensure fairer conditions in evaluation, this work finds the optimal clustering method for agriculture data analysis. Proposed work adopts the external quality metrics [3] like Purity, Homogeneity, Completeness, V Measure, Rand Index, Precision, Recall and F measure to compare the PAM, CLARA and DBSCAN clustering methods.
Purity of the clustering is computed by assigning each cluster to the class which is most frequent in the cluster. Homogeneity represents the each cluster contains only members of a single class. Completeness represents the all members of a given class are assigned to the same cluster. Vmeasure is computed as the harmonic mean of distinct homogeneity and completeness scores. Rand Index measures the percentage of decisions that are correct. Precision is calculated as the fraction of pairs correctly put in the same cluster. Recall represents the fraction of actual pairs that were identified. F measure indicates the harmonic mean of precision and recall. Higher quality metrics value represents the better cluster quality.
Experimental results
Modified approach of DBSCAN
KNN plot is plotted using K value obtained from the Batchelor & Wilkins’ Algorithm to determine the epsilon value and the min points for the DBSCAN.
DBSCAN clustering algorithm is applied on the dataset to cluster the different districts of Karnataka which are having similar rain fall, temperature and soil type using optimal Eps value.
Figure 6 depicts the different districts of Karnataka which are considered for the purpose of analysis.
PAM

Study and analysis of wheat crop production in different districts of Karnataka as shown in Fig. 10.
Results of PAM algorithm
Lowmoderate production  High production  Moderatehigh production 

Mandya, Raichur, Gadag, Gulbarga, Bellary  Koppal, Dharwad, Haveri, Bijapur, Bidar, Chamarajannagar, Belgaum, Tumkur  Davangere, Shimoga, Chikmagalur, Bangalore 
As a result of the analysis, North Karnataka districts such as Bijapur, Dharwad, Bagalkot, Belgaum, Raichur, Bellary, Chitradurga and Davangere are the districts which have maximum wheat crop production.
CLARA
Results CLARA algorithm
Large area, production and moderate rainfall, temperature (24–26)  Moderate area, production and high rainfall, temperature (27–29)  Low area, production moderate rainfall, temperature (29–30) 

Bijapur, Belgaum  Gadag, Gulbarga, Dharwad, Bangalore, Bagalkote  Koppal, Davangere, Shimoga, Haveri, Chikmagalur, Bidar, Chamarajannagar, Tumkur, Mandya, Raichur, Bellary 
Multiple linear regression
P value test: significant attributes
Cotton  Groundnut  Jowar  Rice  Wheat  

Temperature  0.547536  3.41E–07  3.86E–07  0.003139  0.001137 
Rainfall  0.784625  1.86E–06  0.653187  0.105878  0.018042 
Ph  0.011752  2.55E–05  0.029733  5.08E–07  0.01834 
Nitrogen  5.85E–05  0.071873  0.349257  0.000841  8.6E–06 
Phosphorus  0.071843  0.043345  0.464847  0.025816  0.209524 
Potassium  2.82E–07  0.643528  0.050831  1.43E–05  0.021422 
Water  4.95E–05  4.92E–49  1.2E–102  1.22E–26  NA 
Multiple linear regression equation for different crop yield
Crop  Yield forecast equation 

Cotton  Yield = (7.149372) + (−0.14468)pH + (−0.00131) Nitrogen + (−0.00405) Potassium + (−0.00405) Water Required 
Groundnut  Yield = (2.79115) + (0.029217) Temperature + (5.78e–05) Rainfall + (−0.05681) pH + (−0.00127) Phosphorus + (−0.00492) Water Required 
Jowar  Yield = (−1.62694) + (−5.35e–02) Temperature + (0.051512) pH + (−0.00113) Potassium + (0.01685436) Water Required 
Rice  Yield = (−0.18503) + (0.041593) Temperature + (0.172042) pH + (−8.27e–04) Nitrogen + (−4.28e–03) Phosphorus + (−0.00264) Potassium + (9.15e–04) Water Required 
Wheat  Yield = (112) + (−4.14e–02) Temperature + (1.34e–04) Rainfall + (0.079153) pH + (−1.31e–03) Nitrogen + (−0.00167) Potassium + (−0.28125) Water Required 
For 1 unit increase in pH, the crops like Jowar, Rice, and Wheat yield will increase but Groundnut and Cotton yield will decrease.
Results for optimal temperature and rainfall for wheat—Table 5
Optimal parameters to achieve higher production
Optimal parameters to achieve higher production  

Optimal temp  25.4–29.9 
Worst temp  30.2–31.15 
Rainfall  548–580 
Comparison of clustering methods
Comparison of clustering methods
Number of clusters k = 3  

PAM  CLARA  DBSCAN  
Purity  0.578947  0.631578  0.708512 
Homogeneity  0.853526  0.879624  0.895275 
Completeness  0.758264  0.782356  0.786854 
Vmeasure  0.814447  0.805181  0.83757 
Precision  0.40369  0.415365  0.42152 
Recall  0.24856  0.25634  0.25655 
Fmeasure  0.307677  0.317028  0.318966 
Rand index  0.785364  0.796352  0.814561 
Discussion
The crops are usually selected by its economic importance. However, the agricultural planning process requires a yield estimation of several crops. In this sense, five crops were selected for this work using the data availability as the key measure. Thus, a crop was selected when enough data samples appeared in the range of 6 years under analysis. In presents works, research is commonly limited to the 5 crops those are cotton, wheat, ground nut, jowar and rice. Example wheat crop analysis is discussed in this paper.
The present work covers the PAM, CLARA, Modified DBSCAN clustering methods and multiple linear regression method. PAM and CLARA are the traditional clustering methods where as DBSCAN method is modified by introducing the Batchelor Wilkins clustering method to determine the ‘k’ value and KNN method to determine the minimum points and radius value automatically. Using these methods crop data set is analysed and determined the optimal parameters for the wheat crop production. Multiple linear regression is used to find the significant attributes and form the equation for the yield prediction.
Some works measure the quality of the clustering methods using internal quality metrics [21], some other uses the external quality metrics. However, in these works, research is limited to the external quality metrics which are combination of several metrics those are [22]: set matching metrics, metrics based on counting pairs and metrics based on Entropy. The quality metrics were ranked, from the best to the worst, according to purity, homogeneity, completeness, v measure, precision, recall and rand index results, in the following order: DBSCAN, CLARA and PAM.
Conclusion
Various data mining techniques are implemented on the input data to assess the best performance yielding method. The present work used data mining techniques PAM, CLARA and DBSCAN to obtain the optimal climate requirement of wheat like optimal range of best temperature, worst temperature and rain fall to achieve higher production of wheat crop. Clustering methods are compared using quality metrics. According to the analyses of clustering quality metrics, DBSCAN gives the better clustering quality than PAM and CLARA, CLARA gives the better clustering quality than the PAM. The proposed work can also be extended to analyse the soil and other factors for the crop and to increase the crop production under the different climatic conditions.
Declarations
Authors’ contributions
JM, Dean R&D, Prof & HOD of Dept of M.Tech CSE at NMIT, has 40 years of experience in India and abroad has guided and given extensive help to develop the data mining algorithms. SN, Assistant Professor of Dept of M.Tech CSE at NMIT has developed the PAM and CLARA algorithms with the help of Dr. Jharna Majumdar. SA Assistant Professor of Dept of M.Tech CSE at NMIT has developed Modified approach of DBSCAN, Multiple Linear Regression and quality metrics for cluster comparison with the guidance and help of Dr. Jharna Majumdar. All authors together analysed the crop data set to determine the optimal parameters to maximise the crop yield. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Acknowledgements
The authors express their sincere gratitude to Prof N.R Shetty, Advisor and Dr H.C Nagaraj, Principal, Nitte Meenakshi Institute of Technology for giving constant encouragement and support to carry out research at NMIT.
The authors extend their thanks to Vision Group on Science and Technology (VGST), Government of Karnataka to acknowledge our research and providing financial support to setup the infrastructure required to carry out the research.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Funding
This work was supported by the Research Department of Computer science, Nitte Meenakshi Institute of Technology.
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Authors’ Affiliations
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