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Table 6 Verification of the predicted turbulence days using the weather map

From: Machine learning-based turbulence-risk prediction method for the safe operation of aircrafts

Date

Level

Overview of weather map information

01/05/2019

3. Warning

9 kt/1000 ft shear (wind speed change per altitude) is expected from FL200a to FL150 over Matsumoto, and there is a high probability of mountain waves

01/08/2019

2. Caution

There is a 200 kt jet over Kyushu, and it appears that the shaking will increase over the next day; however operations at this level are possible

01/09/2019

4. Critical

Under these conditions, cancellation of the flight operation is being considered. Moderate to severe turbulence is expected for a wide range of altitudes (FL180–FL7000); therefore, maximum caution is required

At Hanamaki Airport, four FDA flights were canceled owing to strong winds near the airport

01/20/2019

3. Warning

Two strong jet streams are approaching. Accretion and shaking are expected on the Sea of Japan side, and the wind over the mountains appears to be strong. Aircrafts can be operated, but only with extreme caution

02/04/2019

3. Warning

Shear is expected below 10,000 ft and requires considerable caution

After the cold front passes, the wind becomes stronger and mountain waves are expected

  1. aFL represents the flight level, i.e., aircraft altitude at standard air pressure expressed in 100 s of feet