Fig. 44

\(n = \) 100; \(S_1\), \(S_2\), ..., \(S_n\) are denser near 1; Kuiper’s statistic is \(0.1483 / \sigma = 3.632\), Kolmogorov’s and Smirnov’s is \(0.1112 / \sigma = 2.723\). Figure 45 displays the ground-truth reliability diagram. Just like in Figs. 40 and 42, the cumulative plot captures more of the oscillations in the miscalibration, as do to some extent the reliability diagrams with an equal number of observations per bin; even so, the variations in the reliability diagrams are difficult to interpret without access to the exact expectations