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Table 4 Observed and predicted probabilities from the count model for the under-five death

From: The best statistical model to estimate predictors of under-five mortality in Ethiopia

No of under-five death

Observed probability

Predicted probability

Poisson

NB

ZIP

ZINB

HP

HNB

0

0.5370

0.5244

0.5309

0.5482

0.5491

0.5370

0.5370

1

0.2310

0.2596

0.2551

0.2189

0.2165

0.2292

0.2313

2

0.1230

0.1134

0.1105

0.1195

0.1207

0.1239

0.1225

3

0.0560

0.0517

0.0507

0.0598

0.0603

0.0597

0.0587

4

0.0290

0.0245

0.0249

0.0287

0.0287

0.0275

0.0288

5

0.0140

0.0125

0.0128

0.0135

0.0134

0.0124

0.0136

6

0.0050

0.0064

0.0068

0.0063

0.0062

0.0056

0.0055

7

0.0050

0.0033

0.0037

0.0029

0.0028

0.0025

0.0064

  1. HNB, hurdle negative binomial; HP; Hurdle Poisson: NB, negative binomial; ZINB, zero-inflated negative binomial; ZIP, zero-inflated Poisson