Table 4 Median percentage prediction error during testing/fitting (%)
Testing | PBA | GLM | GB | SVM | Cubist | MARS | Ensemble | Best MLA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 7.95 | 16.62 | 16.07 | 13.80 | 13.59 | 20.73 | 13.44 | 13.28 |
Feb | 8.17 | 16.55 | 15.22 | 13.30 | 13.46 | 20.66 | 13.04 | 13.02 |
Mar | 8.35 | 16.28 | 15.24 | 13.32 | 13.22 | 20.66 | 13.14 | 12.89 |
Apr | 8.47 | 15.83 | 15.00 | 13.13 | 13.31 | 20.49 | 12.95 | 13.05 |
May | 8.62 | 15.94 | 14.85 | 12.99 | 13.04 | 20.01 | 13.32 | 12.98 |
Jun | 8.82 | 16.02 | 15.07 | 13.39 | 13.36 | 19.83 | 13.04 | 13.13 |
Jul | 9.23 | 15.68 | 14.82 | 12.97 | 12.91 | 19.69 | 12.87 | 12.57 |
Aug | 9.26 | 15.70 | 14.74 | 13.02 | 12.90 | 19.92 | 12.91 | 12.74 |
Sep | 9.26 | 15.12 | 14.40 | 12.55 | 12.38 | 19.25 | 12.40 | 12.31 |
Oct | 9.80 | 16.14 | 15.17 | 13.40 | 13.39 | 19.67 | 13.39 | 13.10 |
Nov | 9.95 | 16.70 | 15.76 | 13.83 | 13.89 | 19.64 | 14.46 | 13.36 |
Dec | 9.73 | 15.77 | 14.76 | 13.20 | 12.35 | 19.36 | 13.00 | 13.03 |
All | 9.07 | 16.04 | 15.11 | 13.25 | 13.18 | 20.01 | 13.06 | 12.95 |