From: Concept and benchmark results for Big Data energy forecasting based on Apache Spark
Tests | Training | Evaluation | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MLR | LASSO | Random forest | MLR | LASSO | Random forest | |
\(R_\text {1D}\) | 0.014 (0.009) | 0.407 (0.074) | 1773.078 (18.274) | 0.01 (0.008) | 0.073 (0.026) | 583.438 (16.824) |
\(SC8_\text {1D}\) | 0.208 (0.015) | 0.223 (0.026) | 22.122 (1.639) | 0.192 (0.027) | 0.188 (0.015) | 20.905 (1.755) |
\(SCl_\text {1D}\) | 0.399 (0.022) | 0.404 (0.040) | 10.342 (0.202) | 0.462 (0.029) | 0.440 (0.020) | 7.247 (0.199) |
\(R_\text {1W}\) | 0.07 (0.006) | 2.7 (0.075) | OoM | 0.072 (0.007) | 0.27 (0.021) | OoM |
\(SC8_\text {1W}\) | 0.271 (0.013) | 0.281 (0.013) | 108.993 (6.285) | 0.348 (0.022) | 0.353 (0.012) | 71.187 (7.316) |
\(SCl_\text {1W}\) | 0.390 (0.022) | 0.409 (0.025) | 28.418 (0.491) | 0.475 (0.025) | 0.476 (0.018) | 14.416 (0.169) |
\(R_\text {1M}\) | 0.324 (0.056) | 13.438 (0.247) | OoM | 0.267 (0.074) | 1.346 (0.223) | OoM |
\(SC8_\text {1M}\) | 0.627 (0.015) | 0.638 (0.018) | 454.759 (3.311) | 1.058 (0.15) | 1.074 (0.031) | 243.008 (6.786) |
\(SCl_\text {1M}\) | 0.463 (0.021) | 0.482 (0.032) | 67.469 (2.125) | 0.644 (0.042) | 0.652 (0.036) | 33.546 (1.908) |
\(R_\text {6M}\) | 1.862 (0.146) | 115.960 (17.589) | OoM | 3.206 (0.311) | 13.610 (11.116) | OoM |
\(SC8_\text {6M}\) | 2.822 (0.060) | 2.857 (0.077) | 3101.202 (14.726) | 5.420 (0.101) | 5.457 (0.150) | 1722.941 (36.603) |
\(SCl_\text {6M}\) | 1.133 (0.055) | 1.115 (0.028) | 357.388 (5.037) | 1.747 (0.050) | 1.757 (0.061) | 161.561 (2.156) |
\(R_\text {1Y}\) | 4.061 (0.165) | OoM | OoM | 6.903 (0.718) | OoM | OoM |
\(SC8_\text {1Y}\) | 5.588 (0.050) | 5.604 (0.041) | 6291.860 (43.074) | 10.809 (0.049) | 10.800 (0.053) | 3246.918 (35.248) |
\(SCl_\text {1Y}\) | 1.934 (0.061) | 1.903 (0.055) | 784.018 (11.487) | 1.934 (0.061) | 1.903 (0.055) | 304.891 (3.768) |
\(R_\text {5Y}\) | OoM | OoM | OoM | OoM | OoM | OoM |
\(SC8_\text {5Y}\) | 41.464 (0.575) | 42.520 (1.937) | NT | 72.940 (1.726) | 73.728 (2.644) | NT |
\(SCl_\text {5Y}\) | 16.104 (0.711) | 15.474 (0.683) | IOF | 26.528 (1.346) | 26.380 (1.000) | IOF |
\(R_\text {10Y}\) | OoM | OoM | OoM | OoM | OoM | OoM |
\(SC8_\text {10Y}\) | NT | NT | NT | NT | NT | NT |
\(SCl_\text {10Y}\) | 38.997 (1.869) | 39.300 (1.755) | IOF | 63.044 (2.157) | 63.127 (2.301) | IOF |