Fig. 10
a Results from Model 0. Instantaneous results of the AI Model 0 obtained in a moving window of w=14 days. Vertical lines are (from the left to the right) the day of the primaries and general elections respectively. The circles represents the official results for the primaries while the stars are those for the general election. b Results from a compared with polls from Elypsis. Thick continuos lines represent AI results from Model 0 (instantaneous) while dashed line represent the Elypsis predictions. The instastaneous model does not predict the results of the elections. Instead, we consider the cumulative predictions in Figs. 11 and 12