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Table 4 The AUC performance of both models predicting type 2 diabetes when applied to each subset of patients within each 5-year age group

From: Design matters in patient-level prediction: evaluation of a cohort vs. case-control design when developing predictive models in observational healthcare datasets

Type 2 diabetes temporal Validation AUC performance

Age group

Cohort design

Case-control design

ALL

0.727

0.733

Age group: 18–19

0.701

0.712

Age group: 20–24

0.713

0.710

Age group: 25–29

0.707

0.704

Age group: 30–34

0.701

0.705

Age group: 35–39

0.709

0.716

Age group: 40–44

0.710

0.718

Age group: 45–49

0.708

0.715

Age group: 50–54

0.705

0.707

Age group: 55–59

0.693

0.696

Age group: 60–64

0.676

0.678

Age group: 65–69

0.623

0.628

Age group: 70–74

0.597

0.601

Age group: 75–79

0.572

0.574

Age group: 80–84

0.552

0.549

Age group: 85–89

0.549

0.551