Journal of Big Data

Table 7 Coefficients α and β, and R² for the estimated forecasting models for ‘AIDS Deaths’

From: Forecasting AIDS prevalence in the United States using online search traffic data

	AIDS (search term)			AIDS (illness)
	α	β	R ²	α	β	R ²
USA	5859	− 2738	0.9452	5186	− 553.58	0.9524
Arizona	82.79	− 5778	0.8031	68.27	− 1.97	0.7339
California	559.95	− 168.21	0.9420	481.76	87.41	0.7806
Connecticut	117.33	− 141.80	0.9481	94.35	− 53.21	0.9474
Delaware	33.22	− 38.50	0.5379	31.87	− 31.08	0.7946
DC	176.46	− 357.37	0.8566	161.04	− 301.91	0.8267
Florida	970.62	− 961.25	0.8457	828.81	− 610.55	0.8816
Georgia	209.60	99.15	0.6421	182.93	183.64	0.6259
Illinois	207.83	− 107.81	0.8635	187.74	− 67.41	0.8586
Louisiana	189.47	− 213.67	0.6370	148.89	− 23.65	0.7357
Maryland	323.92	− 410.32	0.8647	281.24	− 264.71	0.8762
Massachusetts	92.75	− 19.36	0.8951	81.70	18.84	0.8841
Michigan	91.73	− 10.15	0.6962	82.42	16.64	0.7596
Mississippi	96.25	− 153.79	0.5226	88.01	− 145.31	0.5765
Missouri	73.36	− 45.40	0.7740	62.78	− 13.22	0.7753
New Jersey	377.47	− 468.44	0.9657	328.49	− 276.84	0.9642
New York	978.44	− 877.45	0.9683	885.23	− 569.63	0.9765
Pennsylvania	224.11	− 85.79	0.8285	195.35	10.60	0.8257
Tennessee	164.41	− 237.24	0.8190	139.23	− 152.07	0.8921
Texas	378.75	48.21	0.8020	347.21	149.30	0.7741
Utah	23.82	− 37.38	0.6919	20.70	− 24.59	0.7611
Washington	44.27	13.46	0.6295	38.75	35.80	0.6516

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