Table 4 Regression coefficients and R2 for the estimated forecasting models for ‘AIDS Prevalence’
From: Forecasting AIDS prevalence in the United States using online search traffic data
AIDS (search term) | AIDS (illness) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
α | β | R 2 | α | β | R 2 | |
USA | − 100,000 | 881,002 | 0.9695 | − 100,000 | 830,816 | 0.9844 |
Alabama | − 2483 | 12,707 | 0.8661 | − 2370 | 11,734 | 0.9207 |
Alaska | − 90.42 | 625.04 | 0.7216 | − 78.32 | 586.9 | 0.8248 |
Arizona | − 3851 | 17,270 | 0.8075 | − 3334 | 15,114 | 0.8137 |
Arkansas | − 667 | 3962.2 | 0.8775 | − 573.6 | 3870.6 | 0.9132 |
California | − 11,677 | 99,283 | 0.9684 | − 10,780 | 96,113 | 0.9239 |
Colorado | − 1619 | 9209.8 | 0.7248 | − 1508 | 8592.7 | 0.7922 |
Connecticut | − 370 | 7634 | 0.6253 | − 278 | 7301 | 0.5456 |
Delaware | − 406 | 3222 | 0.8132 | − 320 | 2901 | 0.813 |
DC | − 1313 | 12,424 | 0.7864 | − 1212 | 12,059 | 0.7763 |
Florida | − 17,848 | 105,055 | 0.955 | − 14,942 | 97,677 | 0.9571 |
Georgia | − 13,963 | 63,863 | 0.893 | − 12,276 | 5852 | 0.8835 |
Hawaii | − 456.2 | 2903.5 | 0.8666 | − 442 | 2802.8 | 0.8842 |
Idaho | − 292.3 | 1311.6 | 0.7561 | − 209.2 | 1057 | 0.7494 |
Illinois | − 4563 | 29,922 | 0.9783 | − 4151 | 29,124 | 0.9865 |
Indiana | − 1899 | 10,401 | 0.9330 | − 1545 | 9239.8 | 0.9463 |
Iowa | − 622.2 | 3106.6 | 0.9292 | − 548.7 | 2671.5 | 0.9462 |
Kansas | − 516.1 | 2834 | 0.9193 | − 442.2 | 2589.8 | 0.9246 |
Kentucky | − 1604 | 8141.1 | 0.9557 | − 1173 | 6561.5 | 0.9468 |
Louisiana | − 3661 | 20,818 | 0.7518 | − 2882 | 17,158 | 0.8707 |
Maine | − 343 | 1787.7 | 0.8870 | − 257.4 | 1419.5 | 0.9540 |
Maryland | − 4325 | 28,920 | 0.9663 | − 3755 | 26,973 | 0.9788 |
Massachusetts | − 2369 | 17,052 | 0.9828 | − 2102 | 16,120 | 0.9848 |
Michigan | − 2349 | 14,054 | 0.9853 | − 2010 | 13,066 | 0.9752 |
Minnesota | − 1453 | 7419.2 | 0.9426 | − 1286 | 6450.5 | 0.9704 |
Mississippi | − 2446 | 12,186 | 0.7234 | − 2259 | 12,064 | 0.8157 |
Missouri | − 1824 | 10,892 | 0.9658 | − 1565 | 10,104 | 0.9723 |
Montana | − 140.4 | 687.7 | 0.7816 | − 125.7 | 596.03 | 0.8817 |
Nebraska | − 438.2 | 2148.4 | 0.9400 | − 367.3 | 1954.6 | 0.9042 |
Nevada | − 2109 | 10,090 | 0.7889 | − 2151 | 10,041 | 0.8836 |
New Hampshire | − 156.7 | 995.89 | 0.9123 | − 157.5 | 1003.1 | 0.9437 |
New Jersey | − 2052 | 24,339 | 0.9535 | − 1771 | 23,254 | 0.9361 |
New Mexico | − 770.7 | 3825.1 | 0.8517 | − 632.1 | 3155.7 | 0.7478 |
New York | − 8477 | 97,596 | 0.9246 | − 7652 | 94,878 | 0.9283 |
North Carolina | − 6723 | 31,000 | 0.9409 | − 5705 | 26,921 | 0.9588 |
North Dakota | − 74.1 | 312.72 | 0.7160 | − 75.35 | 302.53 | 0.7879 |
Ohio | − 4158 | 20,794 | 0.9309 | − 3499 | 18,605 | 0.957 |
Oklahoma | − 1158 | 6162.9 | 0.8817 | − 923.4 | 5001.5 | 0.9097 |
Oregon | − 1354 | 6969.1 | 0.9189 | − 1247 | 6570.4 | 0.9129 |
Pennsylvania | − 4376 | 30,222 | 0.9891 | − 3825 | 28,372 | 0.9914 |
Rhode Island | − 224 | 1942 | 0.9389 | − 177 | 1824 | 0.8333 |
South Carolina | − 3917 | 20,557 | 0.7879 | − 3277 | 18,920 | 0.8652 |
South Dakota | − 94.71 | 460 | 0.7941 | − 72.61 | 361.2 | 0.7471 |
Tennessee | − 3760 | 19,372 | 0.8981 | − 3136 | 17,266 | 0.949 |
Texas | − 17,403 | 88,900 | 0.9182 | − 16,260 | 85,188 | 0.9207 |
Utah | − 314.3 | 2121.8 | 0.7112 | − 285.2 | 1983.4 | 0.8525 |
Vermont | − 107 | 583.73 | 0.7082 | − 91.13 | 545.91 | 0.8386 |
Virginia | − 2376 | 15,862 | 0.8017 | − 2530 | 16,430 | 0.9206 |
Washington | − 1696 | 11,095 | 0.9594 | − 1464 | 10,179 | 0.9652 |
West Virginia | − 327.7 | 1857.3 | 0.6888 | − 339.3 | 1727.3 | 0.7492 |
Wisconsin | − 1207 | 5836.5 | 0.9428 | − 956.5 | 5201.9 | 0.9594 |
Wyoming | − 58.9 | 316.91 | 0.9289 | − 49.8 | 253.69 | 0.8337 |